TSLA

35만대 리콜 Rear Camera Harness, 스탁옵션행사결과-20211230

M시그널 2021. 12. 30. 22:49

1. 후면 카메라 하네스 35.6 만대 리콜

후면 뷰 카메라 이미지가 표시 되지 않음으로 인해서 추돌 위험이 증가함.

 

Tesla Recalls Nearly 500,000 Cars Over Issues That Could Increase the Risk of a Crash | Barron's (barrons.com)

 

2. 대당 $200 수리비, 주당 $0.05 EPS 손실

 

 

3. NHTSA 에서 수량을 늘림 47만대?, 주당 $0.07 손실,
   만약, 수리비가 대당 $500 이면, 주당 $0.17 손실

Tesla Recalls Over 475,000 Electric Vehicles | Newsmax.com

 

4. Garry Black 트윗
This is noise everyone. It’s an insignificant cost unless you think TSLA will have a similar size recall each year that can’t be solved with a software update. The investment focus should be on strong 4Q delivs and production on Sunday.

 

Never apply a P/E to a one time cost (or revenue). That’s why release of FSD Accrued Revs or Deferred Taxes would be viewed as one-time as well. The impact of a one time item is Rev or Cost x (1 - TaxRt)/ FD shares. Here, it’s 350K x $200 x (1-15%) / 1.15B shares = $.05.

 

Since my first purchase of $TSLA in Oct 2019, I’ve only been this confident about TSLA fundamentals once - Dec 2019. The set up is the same: mnfg capacity doubling, huge TAM expansion (M-Y to EU, CyTrck late-2022), credit upgrades, WS woefully low on next year EPS ($12 vs $8.66).

 

 

 

 

5. Musk 옵션행사 및 주식매도 결과

 

주식매각

 

옵션행사 및 세금

 

6. 2021년 생산 실적 (4Q 추정치)
  4Q 추정치 28.9만대. 2021년 91.35만대